TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35d7…026f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+300.9%+$64.1
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.64
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.34
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$196.31
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.28
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$103.45
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$54.08
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$156.09
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,376.96
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.62
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+811.4%+$254.79
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.27
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$57
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$136.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$202.22
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.94
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$835
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$829.55
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$475.4
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$197
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+334.8%+$170.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.