NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1908755265275c7efff3a5f78371351ffbd9c53e6273d61dd79d2bf2747b7e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolvesof Wolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets | 73c | 52,667$38,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,401 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wolves | 42c | 27,736$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,995.16 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wolves | 32c | 22,185$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,013.59 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 15,858$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.58 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Wolves | 54c | 15,107$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,956.69 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 39c | 13,468$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.12 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Wolves | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Wolves | 75c | 9,595$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wolves | 40c | 8,893$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.69 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Nuggets | 61c | 7,951$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Wolves | 60c | 7,930$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Nuggets | 73c | 7,002$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.69 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Nuggets | 43c | 6,900$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wolves | 61c | 6,798$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.15 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Nuggets | 75c | 5,910$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.5 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed Wolves | 53c | 5,886$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Nuggets | 58c | 5,445$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Nuggets | 59c | 5,296$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Wolves | 46c | 5,274$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.51 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Wolves | 57c | 5,085$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Wolves | 41c | 5,036$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.23 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Wolves | 41c | 4,774$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.34 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…8fdcbacked Wolves | 55c | 4,773$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets | 39c | 4,331$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.81 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Wolves | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,882$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.14 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Nuggets | 58c | 3,426$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.36 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…7f11backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,386$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,918$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.87 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wolves | 57c | 2,572$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.67 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,556$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.62 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa19…e444backed Wolves | 57c | 2,480$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.49 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wolves | 30c | 2,430$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Wolves | 55c | 2,266$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,034$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Wolves | 53c | 2,028$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed Wolves | 54c | 2,020$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wolves | 23c | 2,000$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,932$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.21 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,851$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.36 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…5a6fbacked Wolves | 57c | 1,826$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,757$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.65 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Nuggets | 42c | 1,683$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.06 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Wolves | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,590$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Wolves | 52c | 1,524$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.62 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Wolves | 61c | 1,500$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.64 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…5dbdbacked Wolves | 26c | 1,470$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,314$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…4257backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.92 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,292$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.17 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Wolves | 44c | 1,243$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,187$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.25 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Wolves | 31c | 1,179$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.47 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,165$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.01 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…f97dbacked Wolves | 55c | 1,122$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…85ddbacked Wolves | 53c | 1,092$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.29 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Wolves | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wolves | 16c | 1,059$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.12 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Wolves | 52c | 1,045$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,006$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.77 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Wolves | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Wolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Nuggets | 49c | 994.17$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…7f26backed Wolves | 59c | 991.93$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Nuggets | 57c | 991.83$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Wolves | 41c | 985.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Nuggets | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Nuggets | 4c | 894.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Wolves | 33c | 872.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Wolves | 41c | 858.76$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.07 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Wolves | 43c | 848.69$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Wolves | 43c | 845.18$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Nuggets | 58c | 841.7$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.3 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Wolves | 50c | 834.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.04 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…2596backed Nuggets | 44c | 834.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Wolves | 54c | 813.02$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Wolves | 42c | 804.97$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.88 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 786.05$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Nuggets | 44c | 769.32$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuggets | 48c | 764.44$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Wolves | 35c | 757.26$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Nuggets | 44c | 731.39$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.81 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Nuggets | 44c | 724.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Wolves | 79c | 720.62$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Nuggets | 59c | 677.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Nuggets | 43c | 666.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…d930backed Nuggets | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Nuggets | 52c | 646.25$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…c0aabacked Wolves | 57c | 633.23$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…2464backed Nuggets | 76c | 617.25$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.07 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Wolves | 53c | 614.28$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 231 | 39.8%92 W · 139 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Wolves | 60c | 585.72$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nuggets | 37c | 581.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…edefbacked Nuggets | 58c | 562.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Nuggets | 56c | 559.55$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c66…4165backed Nuggets | 56c | 546.66$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Wolves | 50c | 530$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Wolves | 60c | 519.3$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.