World Politics · resolved market
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd6714df13e06c8e551cd2e907b8d7ee3982ade9a55476536b557e88ce3d8c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,638,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,164,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,638,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12f…820dbacked No | 48c | 291,368$140,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,518.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 57c | 148,791$85,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,346.79 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 36c | 130,342$46,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,987.3 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 44c | 108,761$48,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,674.06 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…6374backed Yes | 33c | 102,569$33,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,796.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 3c | 88,379$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 33c | 83,108$27,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,383.98 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 47c | 77,464$36,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,191.29 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 29c | 66,622$19,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,612.61 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 64c | 64,612$41,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,269.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Yes | 61c | 61,923$37,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,564.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…5133backed Yes | 57c | 61,052$34,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 58c | 60,577$35,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,324.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…29ebbacked No | 35c | 59,865$21,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,724.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…dbfebacked Yes | 56c | 58,950$32,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,767.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 49c | 56,708$27,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,966.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 9c | 54,413$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 54c | 53,655$29,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,115.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 23c | 53,564$12,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,985.78 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 59c | 48,740$28,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,539.54 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…2e4dbacked No | 45c | 46,405$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,404.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…fa84backed No | 44c | 45,121$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,121.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 41,755$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 17c | 40,117$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.95 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 40c | 39,337$15,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,829.29 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 48c | 39,174$18,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,200.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…774ebacked Yes | 60c | 39,114$23,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,468.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa176…4167backed No | 40c | 39,114$15,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,468.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes | 22c | 38,721$8,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,443.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 38,222$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.5 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 44c | 34,519$15,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,206.64 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…b4e3backed No | 44c | 32,079$14,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,964.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…afd3backed Yes | 56c | 32,079$17,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,964.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…63d5backed Yes | 6c | 31,193$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 48c | 30,963$14,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,729.05 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…6b40backed No | 41c | 30,722$12,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,125.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…d280backed Yes | 59c | 30,722$18,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,125.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked No | 44c | 30,056$13,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,711.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…5fbbbacked Yes | 67c | 29,953$19,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,997.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…de34backed No | 40c | 29,437$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,536.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…4916backed No | 41c | 29,421$12,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,358.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…965fbacked Yes | 59c | 29,421$17,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,358.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f618backed Yes | 68c | 28,582$19,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,300.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5762backed Yes | 4c | 28,109$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 42c | 26,500$11,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Yes | 47c | 25,151$11,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,727.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 51c | 24,688$12,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,655.08 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes | 58c | 24,643$14,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,381.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 59c | 24,057$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…9341backed No | 41c | 23,843$9,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,112.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…8a51backed Yes | 54c | 23,330$12,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 22c | 22,359$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 39c | 22,297$8,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 47c | 22,222$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed Yes | 61c | 21,877$13,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,344.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…8cf8backed No | 39c | 21,877$8,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,344.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes | 48c | 21,689$10,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,308.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 51c | 21,486$10,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966.02 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 51c | 21,249$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,825.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 62c | 20,288$12,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,558.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…f5e6backed No | 36c | 18,633$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,973.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 58c | 18,209$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,537.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 44c | 17,765$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 15c | 17,740$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 57c | 17,534$10,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,056.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 27c | 17,069$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…bfc1backed No | 36c | 17,006$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,917.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +191%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 55c | 16,837$9,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.65 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Yes | 5c | 16,694$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.81 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 55c | 15,460$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,480.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed No | 35c | 15,236$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,882.32 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc0…7717backed No | 47c | 15,213$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Yes | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 20c | 14,441$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…e1b0backed No | 35c | 14,407$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,407.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 50c | 13,935$6,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,955.06 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 37c | 13,093$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,264.92 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…22a8backed No | 41c | 13,000$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,732.77 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…e78bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,686$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,653$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…4b42backed Yes | 60c | 12,511$7,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,567.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…53cfbacked No | 36c | 12,496$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…7921backed Yes | 65c | 12,241$7,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb059…a79abacked No | 36c | 12,000$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,732.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…5ccebacked Yes | 61c | 11,817$7,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 45c | 11,787$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,471.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…f646backed No | 64c | 11,775$7,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed No | 23c | 11,544$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,864.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e4…4e1cbacked No | 40c | 11,513$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 26c | 11,506$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.21 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,333$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 45c | 11,184$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.04 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 4c | 11,183$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.67 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 18c | 10,963$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.68 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 60c | 10,859$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,514.54 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…5b06backed No | 37c | 10,694$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,710.66 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…3cd7backed No | 38c | 10,605$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 61c | 10,412$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 51c | 10,100$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.