TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed No12c15,333$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.5111522.6%26 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No10c9,618$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.495133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5d…1614backed Yes73c7,181$5,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.937448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No23c2,125$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1834333.5%115 W · 228 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes80c2,115$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.733458.8%20 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes78c2,043$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.397749.4%38 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No16c1,679$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.28175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-91.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No6c1,622$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2613625.7%35 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes69c1,583$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.862272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes77c1,425$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3422833.8%77 W · 151 L+13.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes75c1,088$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.251888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+18.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes72c907.29$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6822948.9%112 W · 117 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes72c884.55$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.743145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No8c839.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9524433.2%81 W · 163 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No21c838.3$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6218041.1%74 W · 106 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a45…36b5backed No28c816.53$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef0…c84abacked No35c712$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No12c711.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7617140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No29c659.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2734129.3%100 W · 241 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No33c641$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.531050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No3c613$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.348234.1%28 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d7…026fbacked Yes74c611.12$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.092343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes67c605$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes64c574$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes47c560$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x009f…f7abbacked No6c551.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No18c490.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7710739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes66c461.1$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4590…c7e4backed Yes67c447.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+108.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No12c446.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4912545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked No36c408$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes72c405.1$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3816544.2%73 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No22c382.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5421155.9%118 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No5c376.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-76.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No11c355.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed No35c354$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed Yes65c354$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No29c346.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762516%4 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes75c338.1$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5433238.6%128 W · 204 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes68c328.09$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.792630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes59c324$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Yes65c322$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No8c314.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84816.2%5 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed Yes52c304$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+194.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed No10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No17c297$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked Yes65c295$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes80c284.89$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.391060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed No48c280$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes65c272$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed No35c272$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No31c254$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.749646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked No53c248$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No21c247.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7118310.4%19 W · 164 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes68c247.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1627222.1%60 W · 212 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No51c241$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No23c228$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.436251.6%32 W · 30 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No9c226.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.311042.9%3 W · 101 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b5…596dbacked No32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x246f…0ab2backed No41c214$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed Yes49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed No9c207.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.573910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…827abacked No38c206.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed Yes59c206$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x878d…1a9bbacked No23c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No28c197.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.367324.7%18 W · 55 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No51c193$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked No52c193$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No19c185.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.214723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes68c183$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No23c180.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8720542%86 W · 119 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes47c178$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No53c178$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No33c174$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No17c171.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7249511.5%57 W · 438 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…b7d3backed No36c166$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+115.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21a…e5e6backed No6c161.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1380%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f9…adb9backed Yes71c157.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.932347.8%11 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+194.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No12c153.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.159147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed Yes49c153$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb732…6900backed No17c143.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No53c143$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No26c137.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.658132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked No53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes47c132$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x531c…1085backed Yes77c130.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd65c…502fbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc77…76a5backed No33c126.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No21c122.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.831735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No20c122.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1916020.6%33 W · 127 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No24c120.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3215431.2%48 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b3…77b6backed No23c119.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.571625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes79c117.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.649819.4%19 W · 79 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No28c117.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46322.2%14 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No33c112$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4445035.1%158 W · 292 L-37.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No18c109.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No51c107$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe323…af14backed No28c104.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes68c103$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.967447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.