TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x246f…0ab2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.01
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$219.34
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.28
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.8
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+754.7%+$143.93
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$386.4
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.06
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$489.83
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$128.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$454.71
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76.59
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$224.74
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.73
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.62
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$267.12
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$265.85
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.51
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.86
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.98
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.7
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.6%+$58.75
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$60.71
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+68.9%+$44.04
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$56.31
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$500.32
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$218.96
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$540.69
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$56.07
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130.26
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$213.58
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.38
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$48.3
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.22
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$76.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.4
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$383.76
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.44
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$393.5
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185.65
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.28
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$394.76
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$254.03
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$150.86
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$388.64
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.65
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$137.5
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$150.28
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.8
Will Sam Altman say "Deep Fake" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+34%+$26.38
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$27.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$45.23
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.62
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$219.12
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$458.8
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$386.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$356.44
Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$426.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+525%+$262.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$182.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$27.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$69.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$104.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$83.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$130.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.