Lol · resolved market
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa79a562222e78ee57dcdc72f270e78e59ecee7729cc5190bc6b19b3c0e0e2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 61c | 1,469$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,376$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 40c | 1,268$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 60c | 1,031$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 52c | 971$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 57c | 903$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 43c | 903$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 52c | 845$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed No | 60c | 810$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 48c | 778$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 52c | 773$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 48c | 748$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 52c | 748$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 39c | 682$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 48c | 677$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 61c | 656$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 39c | 656$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 61c | 619$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 39c | 619$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 61c | 588$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 39c | 588$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 48c | 567$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 61c | 549$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 48c | 544$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 40c | 508$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Yes | 48c | 507$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 40c | 506$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 60c | 458$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 39c | 383$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 52c | 347$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…6108backed No | 61c | 343$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 61c | 339$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 43c | 219$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed No | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 61c | 178$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 61c | 173$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 38c | 81.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…a3fabacked No | 62c | 58.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 72c | 55.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 41c | 55.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…d962backed Yes | 67c | 31.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147b…2646backed No | 60c | 25.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…c25cbacked No | 62c | 21.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…7653backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…eca6backed Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.