TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe02b…e86d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$224.25
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.4
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$158.48
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$137.33
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$194.24
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$267.33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$123.82
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$256.2
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$91.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$103.74
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$308.32
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$162.43
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.37
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.76
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.59
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.12
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$469.09
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+566.7%+$173.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$71.82
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.74
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$481.14
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.84
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.42
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.1%+$377.6
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30.2%+$234.44
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.67
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$153.4
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$550.66
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.93
Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$121.37
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+50%+$257.86
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.48
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.88
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$78.4
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.24
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.41
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$237.3
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+347%+$866.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+159.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+233.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$106.86
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Milwaukee Panthers (W)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+609.2%+$98.79
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$142.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$260.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$336.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$130.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$244.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$318.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed OpenAI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$148.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$353.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.