Music · resolved market
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68241675cb6ae1fffa20b5981a17e6922c1140eb648a969e935ea1b7fc19deeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 15c | 9,242$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.56 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 18c | 4,619$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.28 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 14c | 2,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5084backed Yes | 77c | 2,141$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 14c | 1,935$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 14c | 1,839$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 30c | 1,488$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.25 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 30c | 1,477$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,189$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 17c | 1,123$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 10c | 1,032$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 12c | 974.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 74c | 785.79$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…880bbacked No | 14c | 763$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 70c | 724$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked No | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes | 62c | 690$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 31c | 683$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…bf14backed No | 15c | 680.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed No | 16c | 679.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…b339backed No | 14c | 678.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 13c | 655$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 33c | 641$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 58c | 623$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 67c | 606$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 25c | 565$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 16c | 558.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 47c | 558$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 67c | 536$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 75c | 509$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 70c | 507$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 72c | 467$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed No | 28c | 467$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 33c | 461$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 447.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed No | 31c | 445$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…5a5fbacked No | 33c | 442$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked No | 14c | 438.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 38c | 426$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed No | 12c | 419.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 67c | 403$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…3b79backed No | 38c | 400.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 68c | 386$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 44c | 380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 56c | 380$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 32c | 376$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 33c | 357$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 13c | 355.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 21c | 345.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 15c | 335.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 6c | 332.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 21cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 21c | 306.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 14c | 291.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…180cbacked No | 16c | 288.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a33…1826backed No | 15c | 285.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 16c | 279.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 268.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked No | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 19c | 260.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 33c | 260$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 70c | 246$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 61c | 230.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea4…4c1dbacked No | 15c | 226.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e3…aeb6backed Yes | 69c | 222.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked Yes | 75c | 221.86$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 58c | 214$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 42c | 214$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 201$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…e4e3backed No | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed No | 19c | 159.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…5ea8backed No | 16c | 157.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…e4d2backed No | 17c | 150.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 14c | 146.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…cda3backed No | 14c | 146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes | 11c | 141.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 16c | 139.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 15c | 139.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…10fbbacked No | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…fc95backed No | 16c | 132.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…530fbacked No | 79c | 128.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 16c | 124.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…de41backed No | 19c | 117.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…a75dbacked No | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e6…64c7backed No | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…fd52backed No | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…7d6abacked No | 13c | 104$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…ae84backed No | 21c | 103.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…0fb3backed No | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 102.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e4cdbacked No | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c4…d6dfbacked Yes | 59c | 101.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…fb47backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?this page
- Will A*Teens win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will AleXa win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Jacqline win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Robin Bengtsson win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Sanna Nielsen win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
- Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.