TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b9f…c0d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.4
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$182.52
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$345.93
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$213.57
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$402.84
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.65
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.16
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$138.33
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310.86
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.34
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.32
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$177.6
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$160.14
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$291.6
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$103.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$481.15
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$614.25
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$709.94
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$82.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214.79
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$383.94
Khamenei public appearance by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51.51
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$318.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$166.06
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$131.52
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.38
Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.39
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$684.16
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$226.71
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100.47
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$127.44
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$165.55
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$154.44
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$121.38
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$54.15
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.14
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$225.6
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$313.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+148.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$186.97
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.52
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$130.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$599.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$174
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$54.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$170.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$130.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$263.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$244.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.