Movies · resolved market
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b59dea85d54f7855a870b08eb476f198f69c773fc828091aded4e58b234f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 1,529$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.32 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 37c | 940$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 62c | 909$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.43 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked Yes | 63c | 827$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 52c | 781$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 33c | 687$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 67c | 687$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 662.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 60c | 533$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 40c | 533$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 56c | 529$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 44c | 518$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 53c | 511$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 42c | 418$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 54c | 367$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 33c | 337$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 48c | 337$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 67c | 337$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 53c | 278.69$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 47c | 258$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 47c | 253$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 60c | 246.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…e28abacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 60c | 194.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 38c | 159.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 68c | 146$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 36c | 142.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed No | 69c | 139$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 67c | 134$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…d02bbacked No | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…6804backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…31c5backed No | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…170cbacked No | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…3a26backed No | 31c | 118$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa38…b3d5backed No | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…f810backed No | 31c | 114$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e2…bf6ebacked No | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…9bbbbacked No | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…8735backed No | 34c | 109$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 45c | 107.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed No | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…4882backed No | 41c | 103$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 40c | 97.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…98c1backed Yes | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 37c | 91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed No | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee3…2c66backed Yes | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…6419backed Yes | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…e600backed Yes | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…c5dbbacked Yes | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…04f6backed Yes | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…6786backed Yes | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…9c63backed Yes | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…5a59backed Yes | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 76.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…ea73backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…106fbacked Yes | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…174cbacked Yes | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…f660backed Yes | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…1980backed Yes | 66c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06bb…04abbacked Yes | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…6ddabacked Yes | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1320…210ebacked Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…6aafbacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…06fcbacked Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cb…181cbacked No | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…e4a3backed Yes | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 63c | 43.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 40.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 69c | 37.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…213cbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…ccb5backed Yes | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…3ebcbacked Yes | 64c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?this page
- Will "Bugonia" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No won
- Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No won
- Will "Marty Supreme" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No won
- Will "One Battle After Another" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No won
- Will "Sentimental Value" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.