Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f52e2bcf16b72d6cad08e6a51eadf46da5ea6b0aa99ea3deaabeae6af006fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 15c | 8,646$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.05 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Yes | 80c | 6,757$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 23c | 6,130$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.71 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 6c | 4,376$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed No | 10c | 3,390$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 74c | 2,695$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.31 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked No | 5c | 1,813$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 12c | 1,485$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 75c | 1,456$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 75c | 1,436$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 25c | 1,436$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 25c | 1,190$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 75c | 1,161$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 1c | 1,131$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +500.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 26c | 1,128$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 75c | 1,112$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 75c | 1,079$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 32c | 1,014$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed No | 6c | 999.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 75c | 999.54$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 74c | 976$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 25c | 943$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 932.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 25c | 924$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 75c | 924$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 75c | 921$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 25c | 888$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 28c | 847$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 72c | 814$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 28c | 808$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 75c | 795$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 75c | 771$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed No | 25c | 764$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 75c | 758$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 75c | 701$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 74c | 660$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 25c | 655$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 26c | 643$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 25c | 629$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 25c | 601$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 14c | 559.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 25c | 549$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 25c | 502$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 19c | 496$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…4d96backed No | 10c | 477.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 75c | 454$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 25c | 454$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 10c | 451.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 25c | 437$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed No | 12c | 416.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 72c | 392$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Yes | 75c | 389$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 25c | 389$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 74c | 383$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 9c | 382.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 75c | 361$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed No | 11c | 352.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 9c | 352.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 23c | 351.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed No | 25c | 350$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed No | 25c | 341$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 75c | 341$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 10c | 335.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 75c | 323.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 25c | 309$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 25c | 305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked No | 25c | 304$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked No | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed No | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 72c | 296.72$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…009abacked Yes | 76c | 294.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 25c | 287$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 28c | 287$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 72c | 275.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 28c | 271$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 25c | 263$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 10c | 261.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 26c | 260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 72c | 256$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 28c | 256$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 75c | 237$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 28c | 222$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…28cbbacked No | 9c | 216.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 12c | 192.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed No | 25c | 184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…42f8backed No | 12c | 180.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed No | 13c | 177.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 16c | 176.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…c75fbacked No | 25c | 162.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 9c | 159.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 22c | 147.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 72c | 138$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed No | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 75c | 135$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.