Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdec1621a6d76fb24f3f7214d922493ab8c87fda1570165cbbbdb8abe717930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 2c | 4,682$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +500.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 16c | 2,825$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 18c | 2,194$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.31 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 48c | 1,657$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 46c | 1,448$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 44c | 1,381$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 44c | 1,368$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 44c | 1,346$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 48c | 1,342$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 31c | 1,330$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 50c | 1,085$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed No | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed Yes | 44c | 1,051$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 55c | 997$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 43c | 968$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 44c | 945$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 14c | 941$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 56c | 863$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 44c | 863$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 32cpaid | +276.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked No | 56c | 840$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 45c | 819$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed Yes | 44c | 819$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked No | 56c | 785$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 53c | 764$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 56c | 745$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 49c | 721$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 46c | 713$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 54c | 687$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 44c | 673$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 43c | 661$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 56c | 632$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked Yes | 46c | 617$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 36c | 614.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.13 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Yes | 44c | 613$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 45c | 604$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 56c | 597$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 56c | 590$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 56c | 588$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 44c | 576$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked No | 56c | 572$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed No | 40c | 565.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 56c | 562$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 18c | 560$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes | 44c | 558$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 18c | 556$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 57c | 539$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed Yes | 51c | 527$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 56c | 525$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 55c | 520$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 73c | 514$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 57c | 513$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 53c | 511$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 47c | 488$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 52c | 476$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 17c | 459$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 56c | 448$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 56c | 445$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed No | 55c | 426$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 45c | 426$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 45c | 416$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 55c | 416$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 54c | 408$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 16c | 396$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 56c | 393$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 56c | 383$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 56c | 381$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…469fbacked No | 56c | 380$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 56c | 373$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 44c | 373$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed Yes | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed No | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…d78bbacked Yes | 16c | 343$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 49c | 335.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 55c | 334$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 45c | 334$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 16c | 318$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 16c | 316$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 44c | 301$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked No | 56c | 301$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 295.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 55c | 295$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 45c | 295$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 45c | 292$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 49c | 291$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 14c | 283.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed Yes | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 44c | 269$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 44c | 264$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 56c | 264$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 44c | 261$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 56c | 261$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed No | 57c | 261$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 56c | 252$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 44c | 252$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 57c | 243$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Yes | 43c | 243$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.