TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,978 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4bf…eea7backed Yes15c221$33 inLost-$33.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e1…1120backed Yes15c195$29 inLost-$29.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa391…27a1backed Yes23c188$43 inLost-$43.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be1…d96ebacked Yes19c180$34 inLost-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd892…64cabacked Yes15c167$25 inLost-$25.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…8c2bbacked Yes15c140$21 inLost-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76de…04ddbacked Yes17c136$23 inLost-$23.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff22…12f2backed Yes15c132$20 inLost-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a81…8b43backed Yes19c114$22 inLost-$21.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466d…3058backed No77c104$80 inWon+$23.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4392…81a6backed Yes15c104$16 inLost-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1192…8d02backed Yes19c97$18 inLost-$18.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7824…b2cfbacked Yes17c96$16 inLost-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…ac51backed Yes15c93$14 inLost-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9e43backed Yes18c90$16 inLost-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick16cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc6…d63abacked No77c84$65 inWon+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…6433backed Yes19c83$16 inLost-$15.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b5…edc2backed Yes15c80$12 inLost-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7fc…3ac3backed Yes15c79$12 inLost-$11.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc1…db0cbacked No79c78$62 inWon+$16.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…5c80backed Yes21c78$16 inLost-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…0af4backed Yes19c72$14 inLost-$13.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd107…9b0fbacked Yes15c68$10 inLost-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.