Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fdf1eb118e560d9cd3e00465af9849ea6cf9a458b4aa8b360763bcff4b88e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 24c | 2,788$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.46 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 10c | 2,624$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,335$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…19bcbacked Yes | 30c | 2,010$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 73c | 1,983$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.97 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 21c | 1,926$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 76c | 1,863$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Yes | 12c | 1,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 17c | 1,644$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 24c | 1,487$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 11c | 1,296$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 7c | 1,076$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…55bfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 75c | 982.49$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 4c | 966.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 19c | 955$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 23c | 871$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 76c | 811$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 19c | 800$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 12c | 725.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 10c | 691$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +143%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Yes | 10c | 682.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…9a04backed Yes | 12c | 667.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 80c | 638.92$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…380cbacked Yes | 8c | 636.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked Yes | 18c | 609$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 76c | 606$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 77c | 556$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 18c | 545.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 15c | 526.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 77c | 481$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 21c | 477.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 8c | 477.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 77c | 462$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 23c | 462$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 18c | 454$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 18c | 445$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 73c | 407.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 18c | 393$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 387.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 15c | 378.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…57ecbacked Yes | 28c | 361.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 16c | 353.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 342$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 77c | 284$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 22c | 266$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 78c | 266$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 27c | 260.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 23c | 253$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 77c | 253$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 13c | 233.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed Yes | 18c | 213$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e45…d9ccbacked Yes | 15c | 209.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…b83abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…c14abacked No | 80c | 189.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 27c | 187.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 23c | 173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 77c | 172$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 80c | 164.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 162.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 18c | 156$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 28c | 141.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…869dbacked Yes | 25c | 134.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 10c | 129$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 15c | 126.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked Yes | 13c | 106.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…942fbacked No | 77c | 103.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 85.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…ce88backed Yes | 27c | 73.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 25c | 72.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…cf26backed Yes | 24c | 63.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…afabbacked Yes | 25c | 60.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 73c | 52.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…121bbacked No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…f842backed Yes | 31c | 49.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed No | 71c | 44.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 43.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed No | 75c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 69c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.