TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43a1…2425backed Yes24c2,788$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.469540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes10c2,624$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.251338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes24c2,335$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.711526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x763d…19bcbacked Yes30c2,010$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No73c1,983$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9713048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes21c1,926$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No76c1,863$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9416349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Yes12c1,670$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes17c1,644$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0517322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed Yes24c1,487$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked Yes11c1,296$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes7c1,076$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.662133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x327b…55bfbacked Yes30c1,010$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No75c982.49$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.635939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed Yes4c966.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes19c955$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…6c22backed Yes23c871$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No76c811$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0733…cd5abacked Yes19c800$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes12c725.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed Yes10c691$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+143%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Yes10c682.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…9a04backed Yes12c667.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No80c638.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.732540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…380cbacked Yes8c636.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00b…fbcabacked Yes18c609$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0184…23f6backed No76c606$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed No77c556$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes18c545.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes15c526.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.615018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes9c500$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked No77c481$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes21c477.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed Yes8c477.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No77c462$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-61.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes23c462$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes18c454$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed Yes18c445$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed No73c407.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…f7eabacked Yes18c393$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes26c387.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes15c378.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb18…57ecbacked Yes28c361.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-86%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Yes16c353.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.062119%4 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes22c342$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.77147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-76.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes4c299.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e0…a63bbacked No77c284$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes22c266$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+338.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab9…2ff1backed No78c266$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes27c260.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes23c253$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked No77c253$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes13c233.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick11cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes9c232.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed Yes18c213$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e45…d9ccbacked Yes15c209.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe652…b83abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…c14abacked No80c189.9$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes27c187.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed Yes23c173$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed No77c172$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes18c167$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No80c164.29$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes8c162.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes18c156$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes28c141.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406147.5%29 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed Yes18c139$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…869dbacked Yes25c134.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes10c129$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes15c126.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1614332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2038…cebfbacked Yes13c106.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8702…942fbacked No77c103.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes17c85.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4822356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…ce88backed Yes27c73.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x464a…4aa5backed Yes25c72.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked No76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…cf26backed Yes24c63.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfb…afabbacked Yes25c60.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes23c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No73c52.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…121bbacked No74c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea99…f842backed Yes31c49.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed No71c44.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No76c43.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No72c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed No75c22.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No69c14.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.572853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.