TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x705d…f3a9backed No9c1,364$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.616119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65d…2f09backed No20c393$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes67c280$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.413048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…f347backed No24c280$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…f38abacked No20c249$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…f42cbacked No24c249$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a8…c1cebacked No22c248$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a16…c48bbacked No24c243$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…a5ecbacked No20c228$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…c3bcbacked No20c222$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6378…0341backed No24c195$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…1228backed No24c189$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1b…e535backed No25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes75c184$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.62373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+60.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4913…1d73backed No24c184$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed0…defcbacked No25c182$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…af14backed No25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29c…4734backed No24c162$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+180.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9dd…c838backed No26c162$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6120…5b92backed No25c159$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fa…a131backed No24c156$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c97…6863backed No25c154$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1395…634abacked Yes80c151$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea7…81c3backed No24c151$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f68…61a8backed No25c148$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…4bbdbacked No20c146$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…be64backed No24c146$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…7dd0backed No20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…c774backed No24c136$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6973…1998backed No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No10c124.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.871877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf781…a8f4backed Yes80c122$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ce…2a3cbacked Yes80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c8…7ca1backed No24c117$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…7a56backed No20c117$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8a…f4bdbacked No20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…aadabacked No21c113$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2c…93e5backed No22c112$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…1516backed No24c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9aa…f496backed No21c109$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No25c107.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b9…46ecbacked No24c107$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…6668backed Yes76c106$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce1…1875backed Yes78c106$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8435…11d5backed No24c106$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e2…7e19backed No22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d0…5554backed No20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad62…6328backed No24c104$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b8b…f83cbacked Yes78c103$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dd…03e8backed No20c103$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…5c9bbacked No24c102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf10…56edbacked No20c101$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2940…4453backed No22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No11c97.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4960%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c9…c051backed No20c97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No27c95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…8a18backed No20c94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f5…73d3backed Yes76c93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…24d4backed No20c93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8531…ed51backed No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de6…d873backed Yes76c89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e66…2268backed Yes76c88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…6b26backed No20c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c27…835fbacked No20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2b…a510backed Yes80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ae…9409backed Yes76c86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac2…004dbacked Yes80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f2…d956backed No20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6a…8a73backed No20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…4282backed No22c83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd345…026abacked No20c83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a8…3c9cbacked No24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde13…6ec0backed No24c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2c…72e8backed Yes80c82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…bd7cbacked Yes80c82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009d…4128backed Yes76c81.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36dd…ad3fbacked Yes80c81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4725…3401backed Yes76c81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6991…7053backed Yes76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…5826backed Yes80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a5…21afbacked No20c79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…82dfbacked Yes76c79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab0…981dbacked No21c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad2…79a3backed No24c78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f7…346fbacked No20c78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc635…69a2backed No22c78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x715b…ca6fbacked No24c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e1…4e50backed No20c77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073b…05abbacked No24c76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae42…3a45backed No25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc90b…4355backed No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4e…1d92backed No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe9…37cfbacked Yes76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dac…313dbacked No25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd551…dd52backed No24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a5f…6b73backed No25c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…dcc7backed No25c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x294f…7f5bbacked No24c73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea7…21b7backed No25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137a…a35abacked No24c72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.