Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d455f6ea94715e6496e08ad91539b4bbebe43dd3892ec60a2e22762dd590d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 17c | 6,939$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.6 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 17c | 4,239$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.04 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 2,391$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 21c | 1,553$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…814cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 66c | 1,371$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 37c | 1,252$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,244$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 26c | 1,227$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.78 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6686…2067backed Yes | 59c | 1,117$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.86 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,021$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…c4c0backed No | 50c | 999.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 17c | 922.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 72c | 848$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 72c | 816$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed Yes | 69c | 761$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 31c | 736$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 39c | 712.87$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked No | 50c | 704.53$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 69c | 663$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 32c | 629.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 72c | 611$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…7e4cbacked Yes | 49c | 606.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 38c | 597$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 28c | 587$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked No | 38c | 561$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 36c | 513.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.69 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 68c | 500.83$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 38c | 499$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…ed0cbacked Yes | 63c | 499$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Yes | 38c | 490.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 16c | 473$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 28c | 454$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 27c | 444$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.12 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 63c | 404.51$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 72c | 375$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 31c | 375$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 69c | 375$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked No | 28c | 375$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Yes | 16c | 369$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed No | 28c | 363$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…7c6fbacked No | 31c | 358$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 76c | 341.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 60c | 337.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…84f1backed No | 38c | 335$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 16c | 329$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 62c | 321$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 30c | 317$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 47c | 315.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 72c | 314$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…092fbacked Yes | 61c | 306.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed No | 69c | 302.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 31c | 296$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 16c | 292$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 72c | 291$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 28c | 291$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…81f6backed Yes | 72c | 279$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked Yes | 62c | 276$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd894…0d19backed No | 29c | 267.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 28c | 264$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…1a60backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 30c | 256$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 20c | 250.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…4744backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…92c4backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…da25backed No | 38c | 234$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Yes | 15c | 228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…bd22backed No | 35c | 222$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed Yes | 45c | 220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 64c | 218.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 16c | 215$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 52c | 211.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…02f4backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…e2f3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed No | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 33c | 199$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…95b3backed Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 12c | 192.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 32c | 184.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 38c | 184$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…8846backed No | 35c | 184$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…6a15backed No | 23c | 182$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 48c | 174.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…2554backed No | 43c | 174$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…b92bbacked Yes | 69c | 173$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes | 20c | 171.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…41e0backed Yes | 43c | 171$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…e449backed No | 35c | 168$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 8c | 162.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.