Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33bb5b499edcab7942ea3289bacaf89899bd31f300c58323b33cf2c3fd6eb1a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 3c | 9,954$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.16 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked No | 7c | 1,568$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 23c | 1,400$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 56c | 989$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 40c | 929$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 39c | 790$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 44c | 764$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 40c | 707$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 60c | 705$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 42c | 689$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 58c | 670$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…6bbebacked No | 42c | 667$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 39c | 645$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 42c | 566$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 61c | 532$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 60c | 528$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed No | 42c | 522$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 61c | 440$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 60c | 433$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 60c | 429$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d4…4a17backed No | 68c | 418.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed Yes | 60c | 414$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 60c | 381$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 58c | 371$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Yes | 60c | 349$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked Yes | 58c | 342$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 40c | 328$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 16c | 324$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 44c | 311$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 56c | 311$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 8c | 306$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 35c | 272.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked No | 44c | 272$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 56c | 272$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 60c | 264$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…333fbacked No | 22c | 261$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…cdd8backed No | 22c | 241$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…8257backed No | 22c | 216$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 209.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…88b9backed No | 21c | 206$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked Yes | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…4878backed No | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed Yes | 58c | 202$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…d4c1backed No | 22c | 198$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 48c | 196.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…7ef9backed No | 22c | 193$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 44c | 192$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…9aabbacked No | 21c | 186$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9568…3e2bbacked No | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13be…0419backed No | 21c | 179$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 59c | 176.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…70eabacked No | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…056bbacked No | 22c | 169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…db6cbacked No | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5030…128ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…5440backed No | 21c | 157$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…0d86backed No | 22c | 154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 59c | 153.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 60c | 151$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…903fbacked No | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…d802backed No | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked Yes | 69c | 145.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3574…d965backed No | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 31c | 134.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 26c | 130.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…9fffbacked No | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…1fc1backed No | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…1fd3backed No | 15c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8686…c919backed No | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372c…99f0backed No | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…d973backed No | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…fd8ebacked No | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…388bbacked No | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…6a15backed No | 17c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…4d33backed No | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…e3f1backed No | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…6dc5backed No | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c6dbbacked No | 15c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…2ad6backed No | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…8819backed No | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…a2e4backed Yes | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…0613backed No | 21c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…23c0backed No | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42e…8540backed No | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…d5d4backed No | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.