Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebde48ee96dc80ab8ebc2c6072d4283966e4ef8f59519074c46a15d2d514fa14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 4,499$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.98 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 15c | 3,127$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed No | 9c | 2,869$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 22c | 2,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 3c | 2,300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 16c | 1,784$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd894…0d19backed No | 10c | 1,625$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 14c | 1,516$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed No | 9c | 1,199$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…4fadbacked No | 1c | 1,051$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked No | 12c | 1,001$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 10c | 972$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 9c | 970$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 13c | 952$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked No | 13c | 857$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 10c | 762$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 5c | 753.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 9c | 752$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 12c | 731$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 11c | 711$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed No | 9c | 705$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed No | 10c | 693$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 13c | 690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 12c | 663$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 13c | 659$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 14c | 655$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Yes | 76c | 626$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 13c | 618$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed No | 10c | 606$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 10c | 564$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 10c | 540$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 13c | 454$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 9c | 445$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 13c | 435$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 80c | 389.04$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 9c | 389$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed No | 13c | 388$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 80c | 383.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 9c | 376$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked No | 9c | 367$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 12c | 367$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…4744backed No | 27c | 345$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…412bbacked No | 17c | 343$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed No | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 10c | 328$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 9c | 327$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…5603backed No | 15c | 314$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…a375backed No | 10c | 307.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 13c | 307$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 13c | 301$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…4a96backed No | 15c | 296$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…010abacked No | 17c | 294$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 9c | 287$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…4176backed No | 15c | 283$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…5cfabacked No | 15c | 278$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…3a20backed No | 16c | 278$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 12c | 272.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…c870backed No | 15c | 267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b85dbacked No | 18c | 265$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…ea1dbacked Yes | 69c | 255$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9667…28b6backed No | 15c | 237$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…e85fbacked No | 17c | 237$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…d25dbacked No | 20c | 228$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 75c | 226.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…d4d3backed No | 15c | 224$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 13c | 211$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 13c | 198$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…4ae3backed No | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 9c | 191$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked No | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…9567backed No | 16c | 183$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…d1b5backed No | 20c | 178$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…3ae2backed No | 15c | 172$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…3fcbbacked No | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…0dc2backed No | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dac…313dbacked No | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed No | 9c | 163$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 13c | 159.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 24c | 158$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 25c | 157.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…a54bbacked No | 25c | 151$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…a4a3backed No | 17c | 149$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…abdcbacked No | 15c | 147$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…587dbacked No | 15c | 143$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked No | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…0b78backed No | 15c | 136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 79c | 135$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…e7c8backed No | 21c | 134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…297cbacked No | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…82a4backed No | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…8f47backed No | 17c | 128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…0c8abacked Yes | 75c | 127$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…5bcbbacked Yes | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaa…fab0backed No | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…233dbacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…cbd8backed No | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.