Champions League · resolved market
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f662dd65c04ef596d5d5ab70da87ca44a1796f8f255918b6cfde92ad285dcc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb840…2089backed No | 21c | 4,106$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 25c | 4,083$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 77c | 2,783$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 76c | 1,810$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed Yes | 74c | 1,748$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked No | 17c | 1,666$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.9 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 19c | 1,601$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,456$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 17c | 1,432$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 76c | 1,278$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed No | 26c | 1,133$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed Yes | 74c | 1,124$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 23c | 1,056$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed No | 23c | 1,046$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +143%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 76c | 1,026$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 18c | 1,005$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 29c | 933$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 75c | 930$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed No | 23c | 923$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed No | 29c | 922$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 24c | 902$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 23c | 902$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 74c | 882$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed Yes | 71c | 867$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ad32backed No | 24c | 835$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 71c | 817$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Yes | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 24c | 795$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 29c | 780$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 76c | 779$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 19c | 769$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 79c | 764$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 24c | 738$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed Yes | 71c | 728$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 77c | 722.54$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 79c | 702$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes | 76c | 693$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 21c | 679$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed Yes | 78c | 676$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 25c | 675$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 28c | 669$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 72c | 645$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed No | 24c | 637$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 71c | 632$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 76c | 629$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed No | 26c | 627$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 71c | 626$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed Yes | 74c | 613$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 29c | 605$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 78c | 600$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 74c | 584$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 78c | 584$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 24c | 548$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 77c | 537$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 76c | 537$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 74c | 530$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 26c | 529$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked No | 22c | 513$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 78c | 498$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 26c | 491$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 24c | 490$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 76c | 489$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 75c | 482.34$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 28c | 479$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 26c | 469$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 25c | 467$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 23c | 463$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked No | 24c | 461$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked No | 28c | 430$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 25c | 430$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 26c | 426$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 25c | 418$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 23c | 412$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 23c | 411$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 26c | 404$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 77c | 404$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 22c | 403$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed Yes | 77c | 403$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 78c | 403$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Yes | 77c | 401$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 26c | 399$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 74c | 398$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 23c | 393.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 23c | 383$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked Yes | 77c | 383$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…08f7backed Yes | 76c | 380$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed No | 29c | 369$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 71c | 369$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 21c | 353$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 76c | 349$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 71c | 349$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 26c | 345$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 74c | 339$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 26c | 339$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.