Champions League · resolved market
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a5c124e9a590dc4fa98e397e16e5ab3fe87ef98725e1c48be6ba462fc1dbbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 6c | 5,151$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,390$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 5c | 1,748$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 12c | 1,716$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 13c | 1,650$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 13c | 1,381$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 13c | 1,353$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 14c | 1,308$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,253$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Yes | 14c | 1,238$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 16c | 1,070$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 13c | 1,053$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 13c | 855$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 14c | 810$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 14c | 773$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 12c | 770$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 13c | 757$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 14c | 731$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 13c | 719$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 7c | 714.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 14c | 687$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 13c | 667$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed Yes | 14c | 646$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 14c | 614$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 5c | 573.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 14c | 570$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 14c | 551$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed Yes | 13c | 537$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 535$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 13c | 534$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 13c | 487$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…c345backed Yes | 13c | 472$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 6c | 464.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes | 14c | 442$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 77c | 436.95$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 13c | 428$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…b2f4backed Yes | 13c | 396$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…b92bbacked Yes | 67c | 374.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 78c | 368.68$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 14c | 368$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…6598backed Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 13c | 346$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 14c | 338$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 13c | 333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…c324backed Yes | 8c | 329.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 16c | 319.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…2dd6backed Yes | 15c | 317$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 14c | 311$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03a…db5abacked Yes | 16c | 304$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 15c | 295$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 12c | 287$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…82dfbacked Yes | 15c | 285$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 79c | 273.32$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed Yes | 12c | 264$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 8c | 228.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…997ebacked Yes | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 14c | 213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 9c | 204.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 60c | 198.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…5987backed Yes | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…6dccbacked Yes | 16c | 177$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 30c | 166.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed Yes | 15c | 165$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 14c | 164$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…14b6backed Yes | 15c | 152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…c128backed Yes | 16c | 141$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…c6f4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0829backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…7253backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…4187backed Yes | 15c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 24c | 102.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…1cdfbacked Yes | 15c | 100.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…583bbacked Yes | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…34b7backed Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…c774backed Yes | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 13c | 86.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…e324backed Yes | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1587backed Yes | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…9accbacked Yes | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…3e4ebacked Yes | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…cde4backed Yes | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…64dabacked Yes | 39c | 74.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…eed9backed Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…8006backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d6…9cf4backed Yes | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd820…ab82backed Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed No | 50c | 36.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed No | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.