TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc336…9f48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$322.61
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$129.21
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$550.91
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.08
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$55.04
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be less than 75k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$36.72
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.04
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.46
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.58
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.02
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$402.23
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$371.14
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.54
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.08
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$62.64
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.07
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$71.25
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$527
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$134.85
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$89.91
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$34.76
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.1
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$440.67
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.98
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.24
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$94.92
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.88
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$820.35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$121.6
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$303.6
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$112.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$205.92
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$275.4
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$221.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$135.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$85.68
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$19.2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+244.8%+$79.52
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$15.93
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.16
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$477.63
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$149.58
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.09
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.18
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.36
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.54
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$717.79
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$97.96
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$397.14
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.34
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.52
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$457.17
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.7
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.58
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.28
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.64
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$69.16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.82
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.46
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$260.68
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$633.6
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+419.4%+$676.65
Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50.29
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$297.84
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33%+$7.94
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$35.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.24
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$669.2
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.51
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$251.43
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.94
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$258.12
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$312.32
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25.6%+$29.31
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.48
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71.72
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$32.76
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59.04
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$8.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.54
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.18
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.12
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.44
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$203.28
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$132.6
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$129.54
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$79.95
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$156.03
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$298.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.58
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$373.7
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$105.93
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$388.44
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+287.3%+$333.82
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$20.7
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$48.25
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.1%+$28.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+198.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+163.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$396.39
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$94.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+155.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$308.56
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,265.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+134.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed Sarpsborg 08 FF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$248.82
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$62.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.82
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$131.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$391.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+298.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+298.4%+$117.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$346.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$280.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$170.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.