AI · resolved market
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05854770e1cb3657fffffc0ee4b21768262b7083bd30015247ed4e257cb35a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd357…cd28backed Yes | 6c | 2,157$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…2175backed No | 73c | 2,137$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…014abacked Yes | 50c | 2,110$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Yes | 18c | 1,792$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 67c | 1,697$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…c363backed Yes | 30c | 1,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 15c | 1,597$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…9c46backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed Yes | 23c | 1,426$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.33 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 12c | 1,409$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 29c | 1,407$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.05 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 31c | 1,399$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 12c | 1,391$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 35c | 1,367$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 27c | 1,358$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 31c | 1,336$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,310$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,287$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 16c | 1,133$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 33c | 1,081$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 69c | 1,072$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,053$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.28 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 55c | 1,037$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 77c | 1,029$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Yes | 31c | 1,022$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 30c | 993$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…b02abacked Yes | 21c | 965.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 34c | 925$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 30c | 908.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 69c | 891$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 65c | 883$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 66c | 863$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 16c | 861$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 73c | 850$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 27c | 846$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 73c | 831$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 59c | 807.96$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…5cc4backed Yes | 44c | 798.81$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 71c | 767$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 27c | 764$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked No | 63c | 741$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…b28abacked No | 70c | 719.62$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 71c | 714$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 66c | 697$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 47c | 656.63$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 69c | 629$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 31c | 619$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…e706backed No | 73c | 613$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 30c | 584$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 579$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 13c | 577$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 67c | 566$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 33c | 566$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 77c | 559$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 63c | 558$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 17c | 548$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 13c | 543$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 74c | 519$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 34c | 519$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 66c | 515$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 33c | 510$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 34c | 501$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 65c | 484$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 23c | 479$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes | 15c | 467$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f3…52cebacked Yes | 44c | 456.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 30c | 453$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…e133backed Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 29c | 443$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 63c | 440$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 15c | 433$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 75c | 431.24$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 65c | 422$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 35c | 422$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 33c | 418$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 65c | 405$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 35c | 405$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 34c | 395$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 16c | 394$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 73c | 385$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 16c | 384$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 33c | 383$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 67c | 383$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed Yes | 16c | 376$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…38d0backed Yes | 24c | 374.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked No | 69c | 374$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 33c | 371.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 361.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 70c | 351$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 69c | 349$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 34c | 345$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 27c | 343$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 74c | 335.85$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 65c | 333$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed No | 66c | 330$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 67c | 328$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 324.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 33c | 323$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.