TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc362…7f4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.68
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.65
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57.33
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$54.24
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$434.38
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Score at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$279.68
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102.18
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.84
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$18.17
Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.4%+$36.3
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.78
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$72.2
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.37
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.3
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.38
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.15
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.48
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.63
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$199.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$168.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$422.28
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$177.1
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$56.73
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+900%+$116.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$158.75
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$274.54
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$125.06
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$285.19
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.75
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$224.59
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$237.6
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$358.72
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$495.75
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$152.6
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.84
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$170.76
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+122.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$118.99
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.2
Will UConn advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$58.91
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$142.8
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$91.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+669.2%+$194.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$252.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$59.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.