TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,397$25 inLost-$25.351,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83e…994dbacked Yes1c952.36$12 inLost-$12.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes14c634$89 inLost-$89.392334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes2c608$11 inLost-$10.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes16c496.16$79 inLost-$78.8222041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed Yes10c488$49 inLost-$49.292040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes6c388$23 inLost-$23.282751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes6c361$22 inLost-$21.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes5c309.63$15 inLost-$14.5222750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes6c307$18 inLost-$18.422548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost-$30.32250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…2261backed Yes6c293$18 inLost-$17.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes6c265$16 inLost-$15.91216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes6c257$15 inLost-$15.424047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes6c204$12 inLost-$12.041540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes6c199$12 inLost-$11.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Yes6c192$12 inLost-$11.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes17c115.47$20 inLost-$20.235049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes12c85.5$10 inLost-$10.225356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes14c84$12 inLost-$11.841560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed Yes14c83$12 inLost-$11.621533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a9…faebbacked No79c21$17 inWon+$4.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.