NBA · resolved market
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd9c640e09182b9d051b99faff8dacdb4a12150e2bb112dd7b8b9b33e111079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1c2…ebd0backed Yes | 1c | 128,079$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 75,167$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yes | 11c | 49,745$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.64 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 31,967$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 4c | 25,286$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.1 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…fa9abacked Yes | 2c | 18,535$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…a5c2backed Yes | 0c | 8,947$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,839$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,167$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 0c | 5,887$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 9c | 4,350$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.49 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 4,089$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…da44backed Yes | 0c | 3,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 3,562$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 2,867$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,632$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…be1cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,469$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…20c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,624$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce33…94bfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,537$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…d831backed Yes | 1c | 1,522$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…6930backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Yes | 1c | 1,379$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,372$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…5684backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 2c | 955.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 5c | 895$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…6bbdbacked Yes | 1c | 759.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…9addbacked Yes | 13c | 744.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 675.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 5c | 601$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 559.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 5c | 549$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 527.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 525$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 477.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5e…71a5backed Yes | 5c | 444.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 357.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 3c | 348.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…720cbacked Yes | 5c | 336.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed Yes | 12c | 334.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…b0a9backed Yes | 9c | 328.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 9c | 323.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed Yes | 4c | 321$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed Yes | 12c | 319.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 8c | 311.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 5c | 301.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 5c | 295$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 5c | 247$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 5c | 242$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 5c | 222.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 5c | 221$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 204.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 20c | 191$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 77c | 188$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 8c | 184$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes | 19c | 171$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 11c | 126.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 117.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Yes | 10c | 101.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…b685backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 19c | 68.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…efd0backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?this page
- Will Billy Donovan win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Brian Keefe win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Charles Lee win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will David Adelman win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Doc Rivers win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will JJ Redick win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Jamahl Mosley win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Jason Kidd win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes won
- Will Jordan Ott win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Jordi Fernandez win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Kenny Atkinson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Mike Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Nick Nurse win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Quin Snyder win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Rick Carlisle win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Steve Kerr win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Tyronn Lue win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Will Hardy win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Willie Green win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.