TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cfc…a5c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.36
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.27
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$662.45
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+254.8%+$116.42
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+79.6%+$469.79
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$217.71
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+94%+$38.04
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.8%+$26.64
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.2%+$8.04
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+65.4%+$26.16
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+68.7%+$20.62
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reusch be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$80.13
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$18.1
Will the announcers say "History" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.2%+$20.83
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+68.6%+$20.57
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.31
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+111.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.9%+$7.59
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+41.6%+$12.48
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$556.12
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$540
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$930
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.