TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes35c894.53$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.7648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No57c507.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7876445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.117249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked No51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.563839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0323357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes26c123.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0335954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed No54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.156839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No49c107$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No12c105.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked No43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.848140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9531520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked No50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked No48c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.34128.3%1 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.41per pick50cpaid-83.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes63c56.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.948647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No66c47.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.352,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No55c42.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked No53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No53c32.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9918641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.154450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…a5c2backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6e…26cfbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ff…8bd4backed No80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x899a…95abbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa721…869ebacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbd…20a4backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3806…d265backed Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22588%22 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d39…3e88backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf862…784bbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a6…fed6backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…4515backed No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e01…681fbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.