TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0a1…ddbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$22.6
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$26.05
Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during Brazil vs Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the announcers say "Free Kick 10+ times" during Netherlands vs Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will the announcers say "Counter attack" during Netherlands vs Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.31
Will the announcers say "Champion" during Netherlands vs Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will the announcers say "Momentum" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will the announcers say "Sportsmanship" during Brazil vs Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$10.2
Will the announcers say "Aggressive" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.02
Will the announcers say "Foul" 7+ times during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 15+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$39.5
Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will the announcers say "Los Angeles" 5+ times during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.