Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b0034563b7066d5151111accbcddf9813fc18d0cbf7f2d65f4968316cdfead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 53c | 529.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.56 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 19c | 352.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 38c | 333.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 69c | 309.31$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked Yes | 80c | 184.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 158.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 40c | 110.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 106.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 24c | 100.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed Yes | 34c | 89.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -14.0wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 16c | 86.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 28c | 55.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 35c | 54.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…89e5backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 12%22 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 72c | 48.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…ddbcbacked No | 34c | 40.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…4a5ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 26.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.