Ukraine · resolved market
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b09d2bd85728308faa51a74f78b1f27e798a4ff0751c70ac112d5dc11825832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3732…43acbacked Yes | 75c | 14,897$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed No | 23c | 3,318$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed No | 9c | 2,272$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 24c | 1,833$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 22c | 1,636$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 25c | 1,148$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 26c | 1,063$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 1,028$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 28c | 918.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 32c | 867.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed No | 30c | 742.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 32c | 675.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 27c | 669.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 6c | 658.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 28c | 636.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 631.23$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…ab54backed Yes | 54c | 538.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…a949backed No | 26c | 532.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +10.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…b028backed Yes | 56c | 531.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked No | 31c | 499.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 66c | 493.41$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 483.62$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…6ce4backed No | 26c | 468.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 462.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 27c | 390.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Yes | 66c | 352.52$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 55c | 322.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 25c | 321.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…26a6backed No | 30c | 298.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 42c | 290.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…3528backed No | 31c | 287.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 72c | 273.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed No | 26c | 262.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 76c | 261.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 253.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…73d8backed Yes | 75c | 210.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…f3d6backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 43c | 199.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 67c | 198.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…e039backed No | 39c | 187.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…9cd5backed No | 36c | 169.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed No | 35c | 168.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 24c | 164.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 36c | 163$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…33a1backed Yes | 62c | 161.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…f2edbacked No | 28c | 161.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 45c | 150.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 55c | 132.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…22fabacked Yes | 76c | 131.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 27c | 128.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 14c | 128.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 62c | 125.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…47b5backed Yes | 64c | 124.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…8a17backed Yes | 47c | 123.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…aadfbacked No | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…ee9dbacked No | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 15c | 113.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…086dbacked Yes | 57c | 111.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +374.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…170cbacked No | 46c | 108.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…536fbacked No | 47c | 105.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c36abacked No | 34c | 105.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed No | 36c | 103.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…3b3dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…99f2backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb128…ed0dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…7d0fbacked No | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…68b5backed Yes | 79c | 94.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 63c | 92.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…2c94backed No | 18c | 85.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…1215backed Yes | 57c | 84.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…1401backed No | 32c | 79.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 60c | 77.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 23c | 66.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 63.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 53c | 58.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1533…fc9bbacked No | 53c | 55.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…b185backed No | 45c | 54.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked Yes | 73c | 54.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 55c | 52.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 33c | 52.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…1b4ebacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…967abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…4af3backed Yes | 61c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 48.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…be20backed No | 27c | 48.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.