Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 15+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9ee8ff6bf396d362155ea07063796394485fb70ada7feef88c089fe7e61040

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,699 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	38c	1,118$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.67	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No	51c	325.08$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.32	359	58.5%210 W · 149 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	59c	323.98$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.77	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c1…97eabacked No	64c	263.68$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.76	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83c6…243bbacked No	64c	215.69$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.04	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No	64c	210$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.37	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	57c	121$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	60c	106.33$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.52	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38cf…7148backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	40c	81.98$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.82	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	36c	75$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.05	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes	39c	65$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8e…2175backed Yes	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No	55c	35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-16.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed No	64c	33.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes	43c	32.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3b0…8501backed Yes	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes	46c	22.31$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.05	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+19.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c4…71e3backed No	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 15+ times during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event