TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,658 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6630…6ae9backed Yes45c801.82$360 inWon+$441.821233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No37c402$150 inLost-$149.6635954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes49c284$139 inWon+$145.398647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes61c239.99$146 inWon+$93.69743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No57c200$114 inLost-$11417249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes65c194.99$127 inWon+$68.216847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No55c151.1$83 inLost-$83.148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No33c114.99$38 inLost-$37.9521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No55c109.33$60 inLost-$60.136870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes58c99.94$58 inWon+$41.9735958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No56c94.79$53 inLost-$53.0811256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1811…913bbacked No42c81$34 inLost-$34.025658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No37c70$26 inLost-$25.921944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes68c64.98$44 inWon+$20.7976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes63c54.82$34 inWon+$20.422,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes58c52.73$31 inWon+$22.1824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b24…ef34backed No30c50$15 inLost-$152470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes65c40$26 inWon+$141,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No34c34.99$12 inLost-$1221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes67c30$20 inWon+$9.911133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed Yes62c25$16 inWon+$9.56839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561b…9b6cbacked Yes65c20$13 inWon+$71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc05…9859backed Yes64c20$13 inWon+$7.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d8…a8cebacked Yes73c20$15 inWon+$5.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes67c20$13 inWon+$6.611748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.