TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes75c950.08$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.412588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No25c300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No25c158.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6418641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes72c124.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5724954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.546870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3b0…8501backed No25c74.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.584540%18 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked No24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.854045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No25c47.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes76c35.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes74c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.217138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes74c13.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.547250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.