Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x657c07018c351845d5d64872c21bb86b2bb84aa2b7437888e5a7fa4173a3dcec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 11c | 5,131$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.45 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 14c | 985.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 869.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 18c | 773.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 10c | 763.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 616.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 608.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 18c | 405.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 15c | 369.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 291.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 11c | 255.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 254.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 253.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 74c | 251.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 22c | 203.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 203.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 21c | 186.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 13c | 183.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 19c | 157.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 140.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 15c | 98.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 28c | 82.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…310abacked Yes | 20c | 67.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 77c | 64.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 34c | 58.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 54.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…6cd8backed Yes | 45c | 44.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…8682backed Yes | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…41e5backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 65c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will England win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.