TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13e0…a97ebacked No65c3,055$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.888133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+81.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No64c2,579$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.2920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes19c1,751$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.772,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes25c1,708$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4218139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes32c1,277$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7218636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes30c1,135$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4213922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes30c1,082$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2157…6cd7backed Yes35c999.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.992317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes20c926.32$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.268028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c896.28$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec5…1862backed Yes29c872.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503727%10 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No64c802.75$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.992070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c778.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.042021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes31c708.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.121,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No65c599.94$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9818545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes26c593.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0210956.9%62 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No71c585.79$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c554.91$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No74c544.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.996761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No53c541.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9323644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes34c499.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9919723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes26c489.82$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c449.27$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes28c424.24$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5216741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9223543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20417255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No74c399.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes19c391$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.756328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes33c385.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.164346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0416…9b31backed No76c359.37$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf311…aed6backed No59c354.72$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.381580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No76c335$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.717558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No49c329.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4220850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c322.81$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes28c318.25$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No63c316$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9220652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No74c312.77$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7670750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe611…c90bbacked No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked No64c280.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.894461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes23c269.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.076016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No78c268.68$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7928731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750d…c7f2backed Yes47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bba…5fa8backed No63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8666…0a04backed Yes35c237.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes22c214.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6226037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes27c208.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f6…ad63backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c197.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.877799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1d…aa25backed No74c189.17$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0791…87a4backed Yes8c183.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No74c180$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0128256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No63c175$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.212752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No65c172.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.247941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No78c169.18$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0345736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes20c167$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.18124.7%20 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No70c166.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No69c166.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes45c155$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.22619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes40c142.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.632,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes34c140.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8925638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes17c138.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No80c138.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6421958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No68c135$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7513060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6422243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No79c125$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.114858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510a…173bbacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555e…6589backed Yes16c118.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes30c112.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3417138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No75c111.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes20c110.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7521517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c109.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes28c107.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No66c103.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bf…04aabacked No66c100.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323855.5%132 W · 106 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes34c99.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.788343.4%36 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No75c96.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3912025%30 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5252…7aa2backed Yes22c94.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5c…d18dbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No67c90.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes28c90.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.912936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No77c88.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4835033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbc…26c6backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.411241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No69c79.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0919760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…4d85backed Yes15c77.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes34c76.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7311047.3%52 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc339…828cbacked Yes28c74.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No64c72.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.979161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.