Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe473233e278926310757d1e58c0f37543f2cabe59c8ec9b0006e1d38e44eaa0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 65c | 3,055$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.88 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 64c | 2,579$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.29 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 19c | 1,751$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.77 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 25c | 1,708$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.42 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 32c | 1,277$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,135$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.42 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,082$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.9 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…6cd7backed Yes | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 20c | 926.32$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 896.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed Yes | 29c | 872.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 64c | 802.75$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 778.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 708.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.12 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 65c | 599.94$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 26c | 593.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 71c | 585.79$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 554.91$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 74c | 544.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 53c | 541.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 26c | 489.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 449.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 28c | 424.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 19c | 391$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 33c | 385.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed No | 76c | 359.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed No | 59c | 354.72$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 335$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 49c | 329.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 322.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 28c | 318.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 63c | 316$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 74c | 312.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…c90bbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 64c | 280.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 23c | 269.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 78c | 268.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed Yes | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…0a04backed Yes | 35c | 237.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 22c | 214.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 208.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f6…ad63backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 197.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…aa25backed No | 74c | 189.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…87a4backed Yes | 8c | 183.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 180$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 65c | 172.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 169.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 20c | 167$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 166.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 35c | 152$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 142.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 34c | 140.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 17c | 138.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 80c | 138.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…173bbacked Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6589backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 30c | 112.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 75c | 111.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 20c | 110.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 25c | 109.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 103.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…04aabacked No | 66c | 100.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 75c | 96.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…7aa2backed Yes | 22c | 94.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5c…d18dbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 67c | 90.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 28c | 90.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 77c | 88.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…26c6backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 69c | 79.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…4d85backed Yes | 15c | 77.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 34c | 76.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…828cbacked Yes | 28c | 74.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 64c | 72.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will England win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.