Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b94924723482a948b1d2551a6b155aae0382803820b03ab5b79fb2f6be954c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 49c | 26,741$13,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,081.73 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 51c | 26,597$13,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,036.72 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 50c | 15,370$7,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,685 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 48c | 9,551$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.34 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 48c | 5,060$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.8 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 4,971$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.12 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 53c | 3,847$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.28 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 54c | 3,678$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.08 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 33c | 3,178$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.74 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 3,078$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 44c | 2,706$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.69 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…7bffbacked Yes | 46c | 1,697$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 46c | 1,634$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.22 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 48c | 1,400$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,393$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.76 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 62c | 1,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.23 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 1,277$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.18 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 70c | 1,248$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 33c | 1,233$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.06 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 52c | 1,094$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.12 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…c90bbacked No | 55c | 1,010$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 71c | 1,001$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…0181backed Yes | 52c | 955.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…6277backed Yes | 33c | 918.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 38c | 868.35$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 45c | 728$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.88 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 46c | 651.57$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 28c | 650.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 590$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 47c | 565.35$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 31c | 542.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 39c | 487$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 478.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 69c | 456.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 70c | 432.36$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 63c | 429.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…ab96backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 342.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 30c | 328.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 328$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 322.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 69c | 256.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 227.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 28c | 216.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 24c | 210.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…b3dcbacked No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…ad6dbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 185.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…b5fdbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…41dfbacked Yes | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 174.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…86debacked Yes | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 47c | 168.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 60c | 166.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…c517backed Yes | 31c | 155.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 47c | 153.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 146$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 45c | 144.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 68c | 133.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…7896backed No | 56c | 128.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 24c | 127.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…cf01backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…e6cbbacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 29c | 113.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c4a5backed No | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 30c | 97.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…4d20backed Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0f86backed No | 51c | 91.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8beb…efd5backed Yes | 47c | 85.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 48c | 83.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 79.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 25c | 73.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 70.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 67c | 64.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 64.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…ce88backed Yes | 24c | 62.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 48c | 58.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…48c3backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will England win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.