Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae5cf96773b9201a4ce080f84fad4625649029d28a1f695ce7122cbdaebd04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 74c | 21,977$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.21 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 29c | 13,011$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.77 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 65c | 8,148$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 36c | 7,209$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.08 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 63c | 5,677$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.37 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 12c | 4,552$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…2613backed Yes | 34c | 4,204$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 21c | 4,159$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 34c | 3,869$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.88 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…bc32backed Yes | 37c | 3,808$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 66c | 2,965$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.14 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 14c | 2,427$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 23c | 2,207$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 72c | 2,122$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.79 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,865$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.48 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 76c | 1,817$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.95 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 35c | 1,715$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…ff13backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 22c | 791.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 23c | 769.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Yes | 14c | 716.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 711.54$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 77c | 693.83$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 73c | 634.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 617.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 615.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…c0e6backed Yes | 13c | 551$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 65c | 539.36$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 504.25$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 466.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 22c | 444.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 34c | 413.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 67c | 372$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 11c | 358.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…5109backed Yes | 13c | 352.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 64c | 347.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 339.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 270.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 255.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…3c40backed Yes | 20c | 251.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…52d9backed Yes | 35c | 239.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 17c | 226.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 80c | 206$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 22c | 199$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 197.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 192$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…e9f3backed Yes | 37c | 189.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…77bbbacked Yes | 37c | 185.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 67c | 180.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 180$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 66c | 170.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…1a84backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…35ebbacked No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476f…5554backed Yes | 12c | 157.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes | 32c | 156.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…a724backed Yes | 18c | 156$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 22c | 152$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 68c | 148.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 147.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…2655backed Yes | 21c | 142.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 136.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 133.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 37c | 126.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…a033backed Yes | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…5b46backed Yes | 22c | 122.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 27c | 121.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 33c | 115.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed No | 66c | 112.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…33f5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 78c | 99.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…b075backed No | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…87c9backed Yes | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Yes | 22c | 89.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…aa99backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…e1f0backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…d5eebacked Yes | 14c | 75.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…b8dbbacked Yes | 42c | 74.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 26c | 72.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…6f3bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 68c | 64.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…5902backed Yes | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…6cd7backed Yes | 21c | 61.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368e…84e1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?this page
- Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will England win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.