Fifa International · resolved market
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1db1d5ba575fedac5484588287c0536e87743628489634f2d596a4f62a22609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…e272backed Yes | 46c | 5,793$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.81 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed No | 53c | 5,420$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.55 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 71c | 4,549$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.54 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,100$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.4 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 13c | 2,675$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.9 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 43c | 2,342$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.96 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…458fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,819$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.63 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…176dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,631$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…a65abacked Yes | 47c | 1,559$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Yes | 49c | 1,506$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…b501backed Yes | 34c | 1,494$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 62c | 1,407$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.62 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.18 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 993.89$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 23c | 952.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.82 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…97eebacked No | 54c | 940.13$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 45c | 935.88$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.38 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…54cebacked No | 54c | 900.93$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…7035backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…f7f0backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 27c | 887.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.16 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 51c | 827.44$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.53 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 49c | 825.92$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6a36backed Yes | 18c | 802$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 53c | 774.08$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.26 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 44c | 718.62$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 29c | 655.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 14c | 643.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.84 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…1e94backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 45c | 633.36$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed No | 53c | 625.62$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…9643backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 54c | 612$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Yes | 18c | 557.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 17c | 556.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.44 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 555.69$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…7076backed No | 54c | 543.36$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…b27cbacked Yes | 47c | 489.07$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 54c | 472.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 52c | 462.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…f23bbacked Yes | 13c | 461.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 33c | 460.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 58c | 441.81$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 351.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 75c | 340.09$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 336.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 331.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…ad6dbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…c0e6backed Yes | 18c | 317$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…7d4dbacked Yes | 16c | 310.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc4…5221backed No | 56c | 302.86$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 15c | 292$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 45c | 276.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 67c | 268.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 253$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 55c | 248.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 241.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed No | 55c | 239.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 41c | 234.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…a839backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 53c | 219.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 216.66$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…04c0backed Yes | 45c | 210.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 209.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 209.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…8cd6backed Yes | 45c | 209$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…f920backed Yes | 47c | 209$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 55c | 207.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 17c | 205.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 62c | 205$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…0673backed Yes | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 44c | 201.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 198.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 54c | 186.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 55c | 181.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 54c | 171.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…ac82backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 17c | 163$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 27c | 154.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 25c | 152$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…058ebacked Yes | 16c | 150.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…95f5backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 142$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 138.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfd2backed Yes | 15c | 133.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +237.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 44c | 133.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…9cc7backed Yes | 15c | 133.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…19f6backed Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will England be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will England win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.