TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64ad…ca63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4546.7%21 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$9,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,553
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,223.03
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,050
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$283.46
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,893.71
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$400.29
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.37
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,025
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.39
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$639.99
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.82
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$152.01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.5
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$549.98
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$38.15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+215%+$42.99
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.81
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will G2 Esports Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$431.91
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320.15
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.99
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$4.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.88
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.71
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.1
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+101.2%+$41.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$138.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$348
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.