Venezuela · resolved market
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe377cc3f81cabf05e05be23be9be14a889c34f35eb38e6d166da4448d4b7850c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,588,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,552,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,588,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40d6…d37ebacked No | 0c | 107,960$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 0c | 100,093$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…662dbacked No | 0c | 83,142$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…676bbacked No | 1c | 72,092$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…e5afbacked No | 1c | 56,476$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 5c | 37,362$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8948backed No | 7c | 29,418$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…a2edbacked No | 1c | 20,441$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…301fbacked No | 1c | 18,544$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 5c | 18,153$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 4c | 15,502$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed No | 0c | 15,214$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed No | 4c | 15,026$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…60e0backed No | 5c | 14,865$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…676fbacked No | 1c | 14,826$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…02dcbacked No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…14a5backed No | 0c | 13,873$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed No | 1c | 12,012$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…cc80backed No | 0c | 10,645$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…eb12backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…1eeabacked No | 28c | 9,442$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 14c | 8,006$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.56 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 3c | 7,876$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.63 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 2c | 7,637$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…a094backed No | 5c | 6,905$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 6,863$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.04 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 3c | 6,196$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 4c | 6,155$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 9c | 5,959$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6b…1c60backed No | 3c | 5,809$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 4c | 5,730$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…aa73backed No | 1c | 5,507$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed No | 3c | 5,383$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…d795backed No | 2c | 5,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 5,174$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed No | 2c | 4,952$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6731…3916backed No | 1c | 4,330$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…791abacked No | 5c | 4,229$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 22c | 4,000$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…7cd1backed No | 1c | 3,898$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 2c | 3,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…1c86backed No | 6c | 3,686$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 3,596$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffa…4cc2backed No | 14c | 3,547$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed No | 9c | 3,538$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…7ac7backed No | 3c | 3,299$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 11c | 3,190$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 12c | 3,089$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…1820backed No | 3c | 3,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…e49bbacked No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…708cbacked No | 7c | 2,920$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 13c | 2,917$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…4aa7backed No | 9c | 2,907$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…812ebacked No | 2c | 2,880$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 0c | 2,815$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 1c | 2,792$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,786$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 13c | 2,662$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,609$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked No | 1c | 2,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…ea17backed No | 12c | 2,339$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,320$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…87e1backed No | 24c | 2,245$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 3c | 2,240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 1c | 2,238$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4394…a677backed No | 1c | 2,157$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked No | 21c | 2,082$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 10c | 2,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…d713backed No | 14c | 1,921$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fec7backed No | 2c | 1,920$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…212ebacked No | 13c | 1,884$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 72c | 1,824$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…a729backed No | 1c | 1,818$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…70c8backed No | 1c | 1,807$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…8878backed No | 6c | 1,713$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…8f92backed No | 2c | 1,686$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5e…6d8bbacked No | 1c | 1,651$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…2ac5backed No | 1c | 1,642$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…92b5backed No | 3c | 1,610$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 72c | 1,597$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…0605backed No | 11c | 1,555$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…f6f0backed No | 14c | 1,521$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…fd01backed No | 16c | 1,500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…3936backed No | 2c | 1,496$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked Yes | 73c | 1,490$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…f8d8backed No | 2c | 1,398$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3442…bd4dbacked No | 1c | 1,274$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked No | 2c | 1,266$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…8613backed No | 1c | 1,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 1,249$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed No | 1c | 1,205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…0706backed No | 2c | 1,184$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.