TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cc5…d713

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samsonbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$102.95
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$59.1
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Taburbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$115.45
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.6
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$59.55
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
ITF Ceska Lipa: Roman Postolka vs Denis Petakbacked Denis Petak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
ITF Zagreb: Ana Konjuh vs Gina Marie Dittmannbacked Ana Konjuh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.75
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Xinyu Gao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonaldbacked Ella McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekhbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+203%+$402
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$263
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$267.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$270.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.