Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3eb83637c775070aa466f31cdc10f8d42315990ad4e855e5316477a6a9a36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 65c | 332.67$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 54c | 311$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 30c | 302.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 30c | 259.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 62c | 259.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 47c | 244.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 39c | 237.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 229.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 208$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…b13dbacked No | 60c | 197.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 53c | 181.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 177$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 45c | 169.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…d713backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 49c | 149.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 116.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 68c | 114.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 42c | 111.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 52c | 103.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 53c | 101.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 46c | 96.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 47c | 91.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 47c | 89.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 48c | 83.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 78.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 28c | 71.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed No | 73c | 66.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed Yes | 46c | 64.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 69c | 63.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 56c | 61.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 56.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 51c | 55.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 55.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 56c | 54.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 40c | 48.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 54c | 48.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed No | 61c | 47.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 56c | 46.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 30c | 46.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 45c | 44.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 43.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…63e9backed Yes | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 61c | 40.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 46c | 40.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 38c | 39.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…7b1bbacked Yes | 38c | 38.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 37.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed No | 61c | 33.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 52c | 29.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 55c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 57c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3d…57c5backed Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 47c | 23.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 49c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 60c | 21.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 55c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…f36fbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 59c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…7ac0backed No | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.