Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996336f4abc35ade051b594b3ee0d6649c72e3035ae65e0eed278c89f35af519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 58c | 577.41$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 18c | 287.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 63c | 286.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 67c | 219.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 196.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 57c | 186.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 171$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 140.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 52c | 129.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 53c | 129.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 34c | 113.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 102.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 90.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 76c | 89.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 88.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 42c | 88.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 86.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 45c | 82.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 66c | 76.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 41c | 70.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 44c | 68.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 35c | 60.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 25c | 59.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 21c | 58.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 45c | 57.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 44c | 54.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 61c | 54.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 75c | 48.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 44c | 43.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 27c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 69c | 40.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 76c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 53c | 36.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 35.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…bf91backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 34.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 64c | 32.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 49c | 32.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked No | 73c | 31.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 52c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 38c | 26.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…743abacked Yes | 58c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked No | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…d713backed Yes | 80c | 25.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 43c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…91e2backed No | 47c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 42c | 24.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 67c | 21.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 67c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…86b1backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.