Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd738e71656c315e90cc6712b6afc534724bcd6bf6f40b03f194029511f117369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $820,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $876,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes | 10c | 39,181$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 9c | 25,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 3c | 22,764$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 33c | 20,000$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 68c | 17,754$12,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,665.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes | 54c | 16,301$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 20c | 15,936$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 37c | 12,339$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 10,452$8,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 4c | 10,148$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,412$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 39c | 8,294$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…8fffbacked Yes | 65c | 8,228$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 53c | 8,193$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 4c | 7,890$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c1c2backed Yes | 28c | 7,273$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 51c | 6,744$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 24c | 6,671$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 59c | 5,953$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked No | 77c | 5,749$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked No | 77c | 5,021$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 20c | 4,856$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…4982backed No | 70c | 4,854$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed No | 49c | 4,555$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 41c | 4,010$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 24c | 3,952$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…3760backed No | 78c | 3,852$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…a4b9backed Yes | 30c | 3,779$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 3,740$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…11d7backed Yes | 60c | 3,733$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 12c | 3,500$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Yes | 9c | 3,304$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 45c | 3,170$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,165$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 44c | 3,114$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 42c | 3,025$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…d3fabacked Yes | 35c | 2,902$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 10c | 2,834$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 9c | 2,770$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db8…2e56backed Yes | 39c | 2,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 69c | 2,348$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…3c60backed No | 70c | 2,329$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed Yes | 5c | 2,250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,206$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 47c | 2,201$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 2,173$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…9ef4backed Yes | 14c | 2,108$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…6274backed No | 71c | 2,089$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,071$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 50c | 2,061$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +495.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…2940backed Yes | 16c | 1,987$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…d857backed Yes | 68c | 1,977$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,956$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 1,936$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b998backed No | 75c | 1,931$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 66c | 1,913$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,900$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…5da9backed Yes | 16c | 1,845$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…354bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,830$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 16c | 1,803$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…ea70backed Yes | 21c | 1,800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbee…a34fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,776$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 54c | 1,750$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed No | 42c | 1,737$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 39c | 1,686$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 37c | 1,684$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…50aabacked Yes | 30c | 1,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,676$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…86f0backed Yes | 30c | 1,672$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 16c | 1,648$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 78c | 1,640$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 73c | 1,634$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…7ec3backed No | 65c | 1,620$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 42c | 1,600$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked No | 40c | 1,574$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…42a0backed No | 39c | 1,569$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 66c | 1,509$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…4012backed Yes | 12c | 1,480$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 48c | 1,452$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 35c | 1,446$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 54c | 1,433$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.91 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,414$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…c189backed No | 78c | 1,403$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed No | 36c | 1,389$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 48c | 1,385$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 72c | 1,365$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 21c | 1,356$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 70c | 1,333$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 1,322$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 34c | 1,319$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed No | 63c | 1,304$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 11c | 1,301$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…6fc4backed Yes | 22c | 1,291$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 12c | 1,281$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…7101backed Yes | 67c | 1,272$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro mugshot released by Monday?this page
- Maduro mugshot released by January 16?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 23?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 30?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.