Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d8e4d8455a834a81e68a9e293b62fdaaa655e0f1c6a6ad610390af807b910d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 4c | 13,198$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 22c | 12,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 13c | 8,837$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 8,026$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…7269backed Yes | 20c | 6,986$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…9864backed Yes | 3c | 5,649$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,909$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 23c | 3,362$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 2c | 3,036$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,740$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,516$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,514$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…3b8ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,386$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,230$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 78c | 2,066$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Yes | 10c | 1,600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,529$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,391$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,332$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,186$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…7511backed Yes | 6c | 1,073$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,020$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 2c | 1,017$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…5b8abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…3a22backed Yes | 21c | 923.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 78c | 899.89$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 871.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…5479backed Yes | 23c | 851.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 845.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 842.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed Yes | 3c | 836.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…f479backed Yes | 3c | 813.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 13c | 776.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 7c | 761.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…aba3backed Yes | 22c | 759.41$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…d79abacked Yes | 3c | 754.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 16c | 731.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…2fd6backed Yes | 22c | 722.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 710.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…e4b8backed Yes | 21c | 708.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed Yes | 7c | 708.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…2d06backed Yes | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…ce10backed Yes | 7c | 663.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…8b54backed Yes | 12c | 658.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes | 9c | 630.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…f1fbbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…4391backed Yes | 17c | 624$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…b714backed Yes | 6c | 620.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…bac3backed Yes | 3c | 619.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 10c | 619$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 78c | 609.96$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yes | 17c | 608.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Yes | 11c | 605.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 604.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…13c7backed Yes | 13c | 569.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…0437backed Yes | 17c | 557.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…087bbacked Yes | 8c | 541.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…db2bbacked Yes | 19c | 517.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe62…ab82backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ecf7backed Yes | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 496.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…1e82backed Yes | 22c | 468.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed No | 79c | 419.87$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked No | 71c | 411.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b0…adf5backed Yes | 8c | 410.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 13c | 410$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3144backed Yes | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…7fa9backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…ea96backed Yes | 8c | 390$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 4c | 383.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…57f8backed Yes | 11c | 381.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8b…9f41backed Yes | 12c | 366.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…cda1backed Yes | 14c | 347.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…1ed9backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…11dbbacked Yes | 21c | 327.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 11c | 320.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf9…ef29backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…5a7dbacked Yes | 4c | 316.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…d6b2backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d187backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…790ebacked Yes | 16c | 307.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…eddcbacked Yes | 11c | 286.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d3…8ac1backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…76d7backed Yes | 13c | 276.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…9062backed Yes | 22c | 276.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…91a1backed Yes | 7c | 273.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +232.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…7448backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…2db5backed Yes | 20c | 270.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…efe8backed Yes | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…988cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…6f27backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…8c54backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 71c | 224.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…afefbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maduro mugshot released by January 16?this page
- Maduro mugshot released by January 23?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 30?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by January 9?No won
- Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.