Tennis · resolved market
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054fb450324fd4bce5fea29875a3697652d4af1d242cf2e94500921e962a2c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Nuria Brancaccio, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuria Brancaccio | 31c | 11,766$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 66c | 10,158$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.14 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 8c | 9,073$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 6,260$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 4,610$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.08 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 2,758$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.27 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 43c | 1,749$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.74 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 1,469$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.11 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…c2f7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucia Bronzetti | 55c | 897.13$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Nuria Brancaccio | 3c | 662.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 9c | 624.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 556.62$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 509.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Nuria Brancaccio | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 66c | 430.11$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuria Brancaccio | 33c | 367.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Lucia Bronzetti | 59c | 353.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Nuria Brancaccio | 15c | 337.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 327.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lucia Bronzetti | 59c | 309.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 307.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…d713backed Nuria Brancaccio | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 250.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nuria Brancaccio | 21c | 172.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nuria Brancaccio | 20c | 164.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 154$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 148.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 35c | 143.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Nuria Brancaccio | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Nuria Brancaccio | 25c | 108.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 20c | 101.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 101.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Lucia Bronzetti | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Lucia Bronzetti | 58c | 74.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 36c | 62.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 64c | 59.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 59.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 54.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nuria Brancaccio | 39c | 51.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Nuria Brancaccio | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 55c | 49.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nuria Brancaccio | 32c | 39.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 58c | 37.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Nuria Brancaccio | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 32.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 30.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Lucia Bronzetti | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 28.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…c2d4backed Lucia Bronzetti | 66c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.