TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94c1…e5ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$37
ITF Bucharest: Sara Victoria Balan vs Anastasia Saftabacked Sara Victoria Balan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.1
ITF Klosters: Eva Marie Voracek vs Adrienn Nagybacked Eva Marie Voracek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
ITF Samobor: Jakub Vrba vs Noa Vukadinbacked Jakub Vrba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$33.1
Asuncion 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.53
ITF Tulsa: Marko Miladinovic vs Maximus Dussaultbacked Marko Miladinovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
ITF Tulsa: Luca Pow vs Lucas Marionneaubacked Luca Pow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
ITF Samobor: Benjamin Thomas George vs Drazen Petrovicbacked Benjamin Thomas George · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Asuncion 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coriabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$23.49
Asuncion 2: Ignacio Parisca vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$21.7
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gastonbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$44.3
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
Dublin: Gauthier Onclin vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfibacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pinobacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$20.82
Ilkley: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Timo Legout · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,104.98
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$15.95
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$31.43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$46.38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$35.14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$24.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$6.11
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.59
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$33.51
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.