TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof 1win, MODUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win77c6,456$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.11,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed MODUS22c5,977$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.1771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS22c4,111$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.5781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win76c3,945$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.8245750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 1win78c3,873$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5547046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS20c3,009$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.341,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed MODUS21c2,995$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.076746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win78c2,981$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.371,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 1win78c2,344$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.577152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked 1win79c1,857$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS30c1,525$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.351,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed MODUS25c987.26$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0333541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed MODUS21c931.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS23c887.39$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.542,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MODUS25c880.76$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8220827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed MODUS24c819.86$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.279837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked MODUS20c757.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed MODUS2c750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed 1win76c631.51$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked MODUS30c609.53$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9929240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked 1win79c522.89$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12969%20 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked MODUS23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11546240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS33c497.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked 1win80c471.51$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked MODUS24c440$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.69949.5%49 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed 1win77c433.46$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1134051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed MODUS25c420.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0521047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 1win75c399.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.611,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed MODUS29c395.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e30…d50abacked MODUS18c385.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked 1win55c348.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6191356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS24c341.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed MODUS24c305.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.468420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed MODUS21c304.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1336138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed 1win72c291.03$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed MODUS11c271.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2325339.1%99 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MODUS26c264.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.791,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed 1win75c254$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.59946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MODUS27c250$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed MODUS20c249.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.956936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS28c239.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.142,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 1win74c235.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9947951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked MODUS20c221.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.053622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked MODUS17c209.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.437223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed MODUS22c197.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3220858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win72c197.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked MODUS42c197.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed 1win77c192.11$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1914154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS36c153.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.451,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55dd…8a83backed 1win77c126.25$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.593100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c1…e5adbacked MODUS17c124.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked 1win79c116.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9122845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed MODUS13c107.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked 1win50c106.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.337657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked 1win71c101.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MODUS20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked 1win79c97.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4112255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MODUS20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.176241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 1win76c90.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7626050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked 1win78c84.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1win75c79.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MODUS24c78.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked 1win76c72.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.857255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked 1win58c67.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2133854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 1win75c63.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9427357.1%156 W · 117 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked MODUS23c62.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.312142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed MODUS41c59.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.115841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked 1win73c59.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9444474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked 1win73c56.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2766848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MODUS47c49.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1413850%69 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed 1win63c48.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0713262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked MODUS22c48.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.724518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked MODUS28c47.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.458250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked 1win53c45.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1928846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed 1win71c44.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9313152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed 1win52c43.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.955545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked 1win77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.217054.7%93 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed 1win76c39.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4615064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed 1win80c35.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1110571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked 1win71c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.035950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed 1win62c32.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3316054.4%87 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked 1win68c30.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8114963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed 1win58c29.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed MODUS50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed 1win73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5616837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked 1win68c25.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0313762.8%86 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed 1win80c21.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked 1win77c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421968.4%13 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed 1win77c17.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed 1win78c15.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.314641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed 1win73c14.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.056157.4%35 W · 26 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2e1…ebbdbacked 1win75c14.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked 1win78c13.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.912365.2%15 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.