TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Ignacio Parisca vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Santiago Rodriguez Tavernaof Ignacio Parisca, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cda…2de5backed Ignacio Parisca45c4,419$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.156157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna55c3,355$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.83,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ignacio Parisca20c2,788$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.829,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.124961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ignacio Parisca12c1,776$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.874,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna70c1,457$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9694968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ignacio Parisca13c847.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.154,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna56c619.18$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.441,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Ignacio Parisca51c590.72$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.581,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Ignacio Parisca48c306.1$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.782,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna51c213.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.452557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna52c188.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.571,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna56c158.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.056,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna65c151.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.281,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a38bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna75c118.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6722567.1%151 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ignacio Parisca33c115.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ignacio Parisca33c115.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna61c114.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.692,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ignacio Parisca25c111.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c1…e5adbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna79c101.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Ignacio Parisca47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ignacio Parisca46c97.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9998055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Ignacio Parisca26c91.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ignacio Parisca30c91.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.121,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Ignacio Parisca33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Ignacio Parisca36c83.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5899148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Ignacio Parisca40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Ignacio Parisca36c79.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5996945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna65c62.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9122559.1%133 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8272651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Ignacio Parisca30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna50c49.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna53c49.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Ignacio Parisca21c48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna67c44.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna77c43.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9147274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna49c42.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.82,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna51c37.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.342,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna51c37.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2967848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1256848.9%278 W · 290 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Ignacio Parisca39c27.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6711149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ignacio Parisca44c25.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.287,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab5…da6bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna66c23.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8723842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8adf…ade7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna69c14.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.571376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.