TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Manuel La Sernaof Eduardo Ribeiro, Juan Manuel La Serna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Eduardo Ribeiro36c4,341$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.329,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Manuel La Serna55c2,671$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.43,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna65c2,182$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Eduardo Ribeiro42c1,864$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.784,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Eduardo Ribeiro36c1,832$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4572129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Manuel La Serna80c1,132$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.362,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna77c1,069$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.076,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c790.41$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.411,09160.2%657 W · 434 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c787.07$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.128,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Manuel La Serna67c784.07$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.458,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Eduardo Ribeiro26c779.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.991,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Manuel La Serna72c749.05$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.512,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Eduardo Ribeiro56c661.03$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.183,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro27c607.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.254,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Eduardo Ribeiro25c576.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.461,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Manuel La Serna53c523.58$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.084,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Eduardo Ribeiro29c501.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.333,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro54c448.3$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.081,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9613752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Eduardo Ribeiro32c373.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.283,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Eduardo Ribeiro37c309.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.421,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Juan Manuel La Serna44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16819051.1%97 W · 93 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Eduardo Ribeiro30c299.62$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.022,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Juan Manuel La Serna43c295.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.353756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Manuel La Serna71c273.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.395,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eduardo Ribeiro24c269.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.689,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eduardo Ribeiro23c251.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.385,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Manuel La Serna66c198$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.021,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro16c187$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Juan Manuel La Serna71c169.88$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5743062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro31c168.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5299148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Eduardo Ribeiro53c155.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.461,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Manuel La Serna69c155.33$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.636,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Juan Manuel La Serna65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Eduardo Ribeiro39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.573748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna72c143$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.043764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Juan Manuel La Serna76c141.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.511,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be0…75b0backed Juan Manuel La Serna71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852584%21 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Juan Manuel La Serna74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1452557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Juan Manuel La Serna46c127.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.632,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Juan Manuel La Serna79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5816469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a9…41d1backed Juan Manuel La Serna79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.589366.7%62 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eduardo Ribeiro31c121.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695c…35dfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Eduardo Ribeiro53c112.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.711,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Juan Manuel La Serna47c105.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Eduardo Ribeiro30c104.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.558539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.176943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c1…e5adbacked Juan Manuel La Serna78c102.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.534173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Manuel La Serna67c100.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.541,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Juan Manuel La Serna76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445553%241 W · 214 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Juan Manuel La Serna76c95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.855357.3%317 W · 236 L+34.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Juan Manuel La Serna43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna68c81.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.311,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Eduardo Ribeiro13c79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.226640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro37c71.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3179047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Juan Manuel La Serna71c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Juan Manuel La Serna74c67.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.661,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c66.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Eduardo Ribeiro57c66.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.832,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Eduardo Ribeiro31c65.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Juan Manuel La Serna47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna78c62.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.931,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna65c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.654,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Manuel La Serna44c58.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.652,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Eduardo Ribeiro29c57.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.382,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Eduardo Ribeiro46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro54c48.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0139851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Eduardo Ribeiro40c48.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2760651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ea…645fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna80c42.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Eduardo Ribeiro49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.669244.4%307 W · 385 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Manuel La Serna51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Juan Manuel La Serna50c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d26…102bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Juan Manuel La Serna76c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0911968.9%82 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Eduardo Ribeiro49c32.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1756…89fdbacked Juan Manuel La Serna51c30.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c29.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6935951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna62c28.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9849749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Juan Manuel La Serna51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4520670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Eduardo Ribeiro39c26.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3259965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bce…c696backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8518072.8%131 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Eduardo Ribeiro47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Juan Manuel La Serna69c21.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Eduardo Ribeiro53c20.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7199255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9491…87a9backed Eduardo Ribeiro50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Eduardo Ribeiro55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1343358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Juan Manuel La Serna65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad47…cde3backed Juan Manuel La Serna74c16.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.